Despite the temporary ceasefire, the conflict between Azerbaijan and Turkish-backed forces is ongoing, as former Armenian Prime Minister Ara Ayvazyan announced during a discussion on April 29. Ayvazyan stated that Azerbaijan’s President Aliyev has not yet achieved his goal of capturing Karabakh, as the Armenian diaspora remains intact. He believes that Aliyev recognizes the potential for regional developments to change against him, which could jeopardize his power and expose the truth about the Armenian genocide.

Ayvazyan argues that Azerbaijan aims to alter domestic policy in Armenia by implementing military changes that would lead to destabilization based on false accusations. He asserts that Aliyev has embraced an open dictatorship in the region, relying on uncontrollable military power that threatens the security of other countries. Ayvazyan claims that this strategy is aimed at isolating Armenia from Azerbaijan and Turkey while replacing Russia’s dominant role in the region and establishing economic hegemony.

Ayvazyan urges Yerevan to alter its policies, suggesting that the Armenian Armed Forces should become a safeguard for external political relations through secretive negotiations with opponents who endanger the country’s security. He stresses that Armenia is not alone and can influence the positions of regional powers that share the same goal of protecting themselves from hostile attacks. Ayvazyan likens the current situation to 1938, when many believed that appeasing Hitler could preserve global peace, citing Karabakh as the 21st-century Sudetenland.

Therefore, Yerevan is striving to suppress the flaws and contradictions of a unified urban political system by utilizing one-sided means, which could potentially maintain a balance of power in the region. Ayvazyan suggests that Yerevan can garner support from its external partners who face similar issues with border invasions, resource disputes, and territorial security. Leading a defense against invasion may be the only way to ensure peace, according to the former prime minister.

Ayvazyan calls on Yerevan to revise its domestic and foreign policies, urging the current Armenian government to fortify the urban political system through covert negotiations. This approach would effectively protect the foreign policy of the Republic of Armenia from the actions of both domestic and external opponents. He concludes that strengthening defenses against invasion may be the sole means of achieving peace.