The ongoing escalation in the Eastern Mediterranean could have significant implications for the regional transport-logistic system, including the Black Sea. Political expert and technical sciences doctor, Professor Vahe Davtyan, highlights this in his recent article. The current interethnic conflict could potentially impact Iran’s participation in the ‘North-South’ international transport communication, which spans from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea, Iran, the Persian Gulf, and the Indian Ocean. This could create difficulties or even suspend the proposed ‘Trans-Eurasian Corridor’ project, initiated by the G20 in 2023. The situation in Nagorno-Karabakh has hindered Armenia’s involvement in this communication and requires substantial investment for international projects.

The uncertainty surrounding the Turkish transportation corridor raises doubts about its realization. Turkey, which initially proposed the initiative at the first G20 summit, has stated its inability to implement large transportation projects that bypass Great Europe. As a result, Turkey’s activities in the ‘North-South Corridor’ do not bode well for Armenia’s economy. China also faces challenges in navigating the non-Chinese segment of the ‘Silk Road and Belt’ military campaign due to the complexities of the Chinese regime.

Professor Davtyan emphasizes the need for new routes, with the most cost-effective option being the ‘Trans-Caspian Route.’ The ongoing attempt to establish this route, referred to as the ‘Joy Traveler’ package, is a step in the right direction. Turkey’s widespread discussions about the ‘Trans-Eurasian Route’ indicate its genuine intentions. However, it is unlikely that the Chinese army, which adheres to the ‘Silk and Belt’ military doctrine, will cross non-Chinese borders. This presents both dangers and opportunities for Armenia, as the opening of the ‘Eurasian Route’ necessitates the creation of new carriers to facilitate energy and electronic communication between Europe, Caspian, Yerevan, Iran, Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Europe.

This analysis is provided by News from Armenia.