The actions and statements of the leadership and representatives of Russia towards Armenia have been ambiguous, hindering a clear and open dialogue for constructive cooperation. In an interview, Dmitry Trenin, former director of Karnege Moscow Center, expressed his belief that a comprehensive understanding could have been achieved through dialogue between Armenia’s public, scientific community, and government with Russian authorities. However, he noted that current steps taken by the Russian leadership and its representatives are unclear. Trenin emphasized that while there are long-term mutual interests between Russia and Armenia, Armenia remains an independent country with its own actions and decisions.

Trenin mentioned that the significance of the South Caucasus, particularly Armenia, for the Russian Foreign Ministry has not diminished but has changed. Now, the region serves as a frontier for Russia in Europe. He acknowledged the role Armenia played during the Chechen war as a supplier of weapons. However, Trenin emphasized that the current status of security between Russia and Armenia is uncertain due to stagnation in their relations. He added that Russia sees potential in developing friendly and fruitful relations with Armenia.

Regarding the nature of Russia’s relations with Armenia, Trenin highlighted the importance of economic cooperation over military bases and cooperation. He emphasized Armenia’s membership in the European Union and its contribution to the Eurasian Economic Union as significant achievements. Trenin also mentioned that Armenia is perceived as a carrier of European values and scientific and technological achievements in the South Caucasus.

Overall, Trenin concluded that disagreements between Russia and Armenia have always existed, and these differences are deemed normal. However, any exacerbation of military conflicts would be viewed as a security threat by Russia. He acknowledged that the region will continue to experience significant contradictions between the two countries but emphasized that the situation is not alarming and that everything is relative and subject to change.